Research & supplements
The supporting literature.
A conclusion is only as strong as the documents that refer to it.
01 / Interactive model
The coordination frontier
An interactive exploration of compute growth, human oversight, and the economic contribution of scheduling.
Read supplement ↗02 / Technical supplement
Methods and assumptions
How we selected the evidence, estimated the uncertainty, and decided which uncertainties to leave out.
Read supplement ↗03 / Working paper
Administrative completeness as a safety metric
A complete file is easier to evaluate than an outcome. We explore the regulatory advantages of this distinction.
Read supplement ↗04 / PDF publication
Europe 2069: the complete report
The full scenario, both policy endings, research notes, and methodology in a downloadable paper.
Read supplement ↗Research standards
Our papers undergo internal peer review. The peers are selected for their familiarity with our previous conclusions. A description of the review process is available.